Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.054423 0.063334 0.073105 0.084597 0.097721 0.112223 0.129441
2025-05-25 0.040600 0.052175 0.066027 0.083748 0.105732 0.132016 0.165724
2025-06-01 0.032109 0.045028 0.061712 0.084659 0.115191 0.154186 0.207483
2025-06-08 0.025160 0.038210 0.056265 0.082758 0.120259 0.170988 0.244245
2025-06-15 0.021833 0.035551 0.055703 0.086966 0.133608 0.199832 0.299955
2025-06-22 0.018249 0.031745 0.052721 0.086993 0.140669 0.220332 0.345891
2025-06-29 0.014991 0.027779 0.048749 0.084726 0.143686 0.234852 0.384148
2025-07-06 0.012636 0.024841 0.045879 0.083635 0.148126 0.251623 0.427060
2025-07-13 0.011604 0.024027 0.046389 0.088114 0.161965 0.284298 0.497816
2025-07-20 0.010525 0.022915 0.046169 0.091208 0.173661 0.314395 0.566872
2025-07-27 0.008963 0.020566 0.043313 0.089099 0.175882 0.328605 0.610345
2025-08-03 0.007829 0.018880 0.041448 0.088538 0.180710 0.347552 0.663324
2025-08-10 0.006637 0.016874 0.038703 0.086004 0.181751 0.360208 0.707017
2025-08-17 0.005692 0.015239 0.036470 0.084185 0.183936 0.375116 0.756109
2025-08-24 0.005063 0.014221 0.035399 0.084619 0.190593 0.398925 0.823659
2025-08-31 0.004343 0.012832 0.033278 0.082483 0.191699 0.412080 0.871965
2025-09-07 0.004107 0.012649 0.033913 0.086555 0.206296 0.453018 0.977534
2025-09-14 0.003660 0.011802 0.032828 0.086520 0.211972 0.476416 1.050073
2025-09-21 0.003158 0.010690 0.030906 0.084235 0.212362 0.488895 1.101404
2025-09-28 0.002778 0.009854 0.029552 0.083134 0.215291 0.506886 1.165424
2025-10-05 0.002673 0.009837 0.030368 0.087581 0.231622 0.554958 1.296295
2025-10-12 0.002519 0.009632 0.030639 0.090653 0.244966 0.597513 1.418374
2025-10-19 0.002198 0.008806 0.029032 0.088554 0.245477 0.611526 1.479430